Croissant Lunaire
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Croissant Lunaire

Prédictions de visibilité du croissant lunaire islamique basées sur des calculs astronomiques et l'apprentissage automatique.

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Sources de données

  • Éphémérides JPL DE421 (NASA)
  • Observations de CrescentWatch.org
  • Observations de MoonSighting.org.co.uk
  • Observations du Comité Hilal de Chicago
  • Bibliothèque astronomique Skyfield

Méthodologie

  • 7 paramètres de visibilité astronomique
  • Modèle ML Random Forest
  • Plus de 2 000 enregistrements d'entraînement historiques
Commentaires et demandes de fonctionnalités

Projet d'observation lunaire · Les prédictions astronomiques sont des estimations et doivent être utilisées en complément des pratiques traditionnelles d'observation lunaire

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Moon Sighting in Seoul

South KoreaEast Asia37.57°, 126.98°

28 Muharram 1448 AH · Tue, Jul 14, 2026

Prédiction de visibilité
0/7 seuils atteints
37.5665, 126.9780Tue, Jul 14, 2026·28 Muharram 1448 AHAsia/Seoul

Safar 1448 AH

Nouvelle Lune (Conjonction): 2026-07-14 09:43:36 UTC

JST: 18:43:36KST: 18:43:36CST: 17:43:36MSK: 12:43:36
0%confiance
Impossible

Coucher du soleil

19:53

Coucher de la lune

20:05

Paramètres astronomiques

Retard du coucher de lune11.3 min
Âge de la lune1.2 hrs
Altitude de la lune1.0 °
Élongation2.4 °
Illumination0.0 %
ARCV1.9 °
Largeur du croissant0.0 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Seoul

Safar 1448 AH

Thu, Jul 16, 2026

66% Likely

Rabi al-Awwal 1448 AH

Sat, Aug 15, 2026

79% Very Likely

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH

Mon, Sep 14, 2026

86% Very Likely

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

12% Very Difficult

Jumada al-Thani 1448 AH

Thu, Nov 12, 2026

47% Possible

Rajab 1448 AH

Sat, Dec 12, 2026

92% Very Likely

Moon Sighting in East Asia

East Asia encompasses a wide range of latitudes, from Tokyo and Seoul in the temperate zone to Beijing further north. Muslim communities in Japan, South Korea, China, and Russia each face unique crescent visibility conditions shaped by their geographical position.

Our predictions account for each city's specific astronomical conditions, providing reliable forecasts for communities across the region. East Asian cities often experience distinct seasonal patterns that affect crescent visibility windows.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Seoul

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Seoul are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

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