Croissant Lunaire
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Croissant Lunaire

Prédictions de visibilité du croissant lunaire islamique basées sur des calculs astronomiques et l'apprentissage automatique.

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Sources de données

  • Éphémérides JPL DE421 (NASA)
  • Observations de CrescentWatch.org
  • Observations de MoonSighting.org.co.uk
  • Observations du Comité Hilal de Chicago
  • Bibliothèque astronomique Skyfield

Méthodologie

  • 7 paramètres de visibilité astronomique
  • Modèle ML Random Forest
  • Plus de 2 000 enregistrements d'entraînement historiques
Commentaires et demandes de fonctionnalités

Projet d'observation lunaire · Les prédictions astronomiques sont des estimations et doivent être utilisées en complément des pratiques traditionnelles d'observation lunaire

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Moon Sighting in Karachi

PakistanIndian Sub-Continent24.86°, 67.00°

28 Rabi al-Awwal 1448 AH · Fri, Sep 11, 2026

Prédiction de visibilité
0/7 seuils atteints
24.8607, 67.0011Fri, Sep 11, 2026·28 Rabi al-Awwal 1448 AHAsia/Karachi

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH

Nouvelle Lune (Conjonction): 2026-09-11 03:26:59 UTC

IST: 08:56:59PKT: 08:26:59BST: 09:26:59AFT: 07:56:59
0%confiance
Improbable

Coucher du soleil

18:40

Coucher de la lune

18:45

Paramètres astronomiques

Retard du coucher de lune4.6 min
Âge de la lune10.2 hrs
Altitude de la lune0.2 °
Élongation5.6 °
Illumination0.2 %
ARCV1.0 °
Largeur du croissant0.1 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Karachi

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH

Mon, Sep 14, 2026

98% Very Likely

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

82% Very Likely

Jumada al-Thani 1448 AH

Thu, Nov 12, 2026

94% Very Likely

Rajab 1448 AH

Fri, Dec 11, 2026

74% Likely

Sha'ban 1448 AH

Sun, Jan 10, 2027

94% Very Likely

Ramadan 1448 AH

Tue, Feb 9, 2027

99% Very Likely

Moon Sighting in the Indian Sub-Continent

Karachi, Pakistan's largest city and economic capital at latitude 24.9°N, is a key reference point for crescent moon sighting in the Indian Sub-Continent. With over 15 million residents, the city's moon sighting conditions affect a vast population.

Located on the Arabian Sea coast, Karachi's atmospheric conditions and relatively low latitude generally provide favorable crescent visibility. Our predictions account for the city's specific sunset conditions and moon position.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Karachi

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Karachi are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

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