Croissant Lunaire
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Croissant Lunaire

Prédictions de visibilité du croissant lunaire islamique basées sur des calculs astronomiques et l'apprentissage automatique.

Villes principales

  • New York
  • Los Angeles
  • Chicago
  • Toronto
  • London
  • Istanbul
  • Makkah
  • Dubai
  • Riyadh
  • Cairo
  • Karachi
  • Lahore
  • Dhaka
  • Jakarta
  • Mumbai
  • Kuala Lumpur
  • Tehran
  • Houston
  • Dearborn
  • Nairobi

Sources de données

  • Éphémérides JPL DE421 (NASA)
  • Observations de CrescentWatch.org
  • Observations de MoonSighting.org.co.uk
  • Observations du Comité Hilal de Chicago
  • Bibliothèque astronomique Skyfield

Méthodologie

  • 7 paramètres de visibilité astronomique
  • Modèle ML Random Forest
  • Plus de 2 000 enregistrements d'entraînement historiques
Commentaires et demandes de fonctionnalités

Projet d'observation lunaire · Les prédictions astronomiques sont des estimations et doivent être utilisées en complément des pratiques traditionnelles d'observation lunaire

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Moon Sighting in Istanbul

TurkeyEurope41.01°, 28.98°

28 Dhul Hijjah 1447 AH · Mon, Jun 15, 2026

Prédiction de visibilité
1/7 seuils atteints
41.0082, 28.9784Mon, Jun 15, 2026·28 Dhul Hijjah 1447 AHEurope/Istanbul

Muharram 1448 AH

Nouvelle Lune (Conjonction): 2026-06-15 02:54:10 UTC

GMT: 03:54:10CET: 04:54:10EET: 05:54:10
3%confiance
Improbable

Coucher du soleil

20:37

Coucher de la lune

21:33

Paramètres astronomiques

Retard du coucher de lune55.2 min
Âge de la lune14.7 hrs
Altitude de la lune7.5 °
Élongation8.8 °
Illumination0.6 %
ARCV8.3 °
Largeur du croissant0.2 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Istanbul

Muharram 1448 AH

Wed, Jun 17, 2026

97% Very Likely

Safar 1448 AH

Thu, Jul 16, 2026

76% Very Likely

Rabi al-Awwal 1448 AH

Sat, Aug 15, 2026

85% Very Likely

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH

Mon, Sep 14, 2026

79% Very Likely

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

16% Very Difficult

Jumada al-Thani 1448 AH

Thu, Nov 12, 2026

55% Possible

Moon Sighting in Europe

Istanbul, straddling Europe and Asia at latitude 41.0°N, is a key reference city for crescent moon sighting in Turkey and the broader region. As the most populous city in both Turkey and Europe, Istanbul's moon sighting conditions are closely monitored by millions.

The city's position on the Bosphorus and its specific atmospheric conditions affect crescent visibility. Our predictions provide precise astronomical calculations accounting for Istanbul's unique coordinates and timezone.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Istanbul

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Istanbul are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

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