Croissant Lunaire
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Croissant Lunaire

Prédictions de visibilité du croissant lunaire islamique basées sur des calculs astronomiques et l'apprentissage automatique.

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Sources de données

  • Éphémérides JPL DE421 (NASA)
  • Observations de CrescentWatch.org
  • Observations de MoonSighting.org.co.uk
  • Observations du Comité Hilal de Chicago
  • Bibliothèque astronomique Skyfield

Méthodologie

  • 7 paramètres de visibilité astronomique
  • Modèle ML Random Forest
  • Plus de 2 000 enregistrements d'entraînement historiques
Commentaires et demandes de fonctionnalités

Projet d'observation lunaire · Les prédictions astronomiques sont des estimations et doivent être utilisées en complément des pratiques traditionnelles d'observation lunaire

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Moon Sighting in Shymkent

KazakhstanCentral Asia42.32°, 69.59°

28 Shawwal 1447 AH · Fri, Apr 17, 2026

Prédiction de visibilité
0/7 seuils atteints
42.3155, 69.5869Fri, Apr 17, 2026·28 Shawwal 1447 AHAsia/Almaty

Dhul Qi'dah 1447 AH

Nouvelle Lune (Conjonction): 2026-04-17 11:51:48 UTC

PT: 04:51:48MT: 05:51:48CT: 06:51:48ET: 07:51:48
0%confiance
Impossible

Coucher du soleil

19:05

Coucher de la lune

19:15

Paramètres astronomiques

Retard du coucher de lune10.2 min
Âge de la lune2.2 hrs
Altitude de la lune0.9 °
Élongation3.6 °
Illumination0.0 %
ARCV1.7 °
Largeur du croissant0.0 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Shymkent

Dhul Qi'dah 1447 AH

Sun, Apr 19, 2026

87% Very Likely

Dhul Hijjah 1447 AH

Tue, May 19, 2026

99% Very Likely

Muharram 1448 AH

Wed, Jun 17, 2026

94% Very Likely

Safar 1448 AH

Thu, Jul 16, 2026

68% Likely

Rabi al-Awwal 1448 AH

Sat, Aug 15, 2026

60% Likely

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH

Mon, Sep 14, 2026

50% Possible

Moon Sighting in Central Asia

Central Asia, with its historically deep-rooted Islamic heritage, spans from Azerbaijan on the Caspian Sea to Kazakhstan's vast steppes. Cities like Tashkent, Baku, and Almaty have long traditions of crescent moon observation for determining Islamic calendar dates.

The region's continental climate and generally clear skies can provide good visibility conditions. Our system delivers precise predictions based on each city's coordinates and local sunset times, serving Muslim communities across the Silk Road region.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Shymkent

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Shymkent are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

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