Crescent MoonSighting Predictions
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Moon Sighting

Islamic crescent moon visibility predictions powered by astronomical calculations and machine learning.

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Data Sources

  • JPL DE421 Ephemeris (NASA)
  • CrescentWatch.org observations
  • MoonSighting.org.co.uk observations
  • Chicago Hilal Committee observations
  • Skyfield astronomical library

Methodology

  • 7 astronomical visibility parameters
  • ML Random Forest model
  • 2,000+ historical training records
Feedback & Feature Requests

Moon Sighting Project · Astronomical predictions are estimates and should be used alongside traditional moon sighting practices

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Moon Sighting in Seattle

United StatesUnited States47.61°, -122.33°

28 Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH · Sat, Oct 10, 2026

North America Sighting Outlook

Crescent unlikely to be sighted in North America on the evening of the 29th Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH, corresponding to Sun, Oct 11, 2026

Best chance: San Diego, CA (25% — Very Difficult)

Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH completes 30 days — 1st of Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH begins Tue, Oct 13, 2026

This date is already set by completing 30 days. It does not depend on tonight's sighting.

Regional outlook based on the highest-confidence North American city (US or Canada). Local observation still determines your area's sighting.

Visibility Prediction
0/7 thresholds met
47.6062, -122.3321Sat, Oct 10, 2026·28 Rabi al-Thani 1448 AHAmerica/Los_Angeles

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

New Moon (Conjunction): 2026-10-10 15:50:05 UTC

PT: 08:50:05MT: 09:50:05CT: 10:50:05ET: 11:50:05
0%confidence
Not Possible

Sunset

18:30

Moonset

18:10

Astronomical Parameters

Moonset Lag-20.1 min
Moon Age9.7 hrs
Moon Altitude-4.0 °
Elongation6.7 °
Illumination0.2 %
ARCV-3.2 °
Crescent Width0.1 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Seattle

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

20% Very Difficult

Jumada al-Thani 1448 AH

Thu, Nov 12, 2026

59% Likely

Rajab 1448 AH

Sat, Dec 12, 2026

95% Very Likely

Sha'ban 1448 AH

Sun, Jan 10, 2027

91% Very Likely

Ramadan 1448 AH

Mon, Feb 8, 2027

79% Very Likely

Shawwal 1448 AH

Wed, Mar 10, 2027

96% Very Likely

Moon Sighting in the United States

The United States spans multiple time zones, creating varied crescent moon sighting conditions from coast to coast. Western cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles typically benefit from later sunset times relative to moonset, while eastern cities like New York and Miami may experience shorter moonset lag times.

Muslim communities across America rely on accurate Hilal visibility predictions to determine the start of Islamic months, particularly for Ramadan, Shawwal (Eid al-Fitr), and Dhul Hijjah (Eid al-Adha). Our predictions combine NASA JPL ephemeris data with machine learning trained on over 2,000 historical observations.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Seattle

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Seattle are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

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