Crescent MoonSighting Predictions
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Moon Sighting

Islamic crescent moon visibility predictions powered by astronomical calculations and machine learning.

Top Cities

  • New York
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  • Dhaka
  • Jakarta
  • Mumbai
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  • Tehran
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Data Sources

  • JPL DE421 Ephemeris (NASA)
  • CrescentWatch.org observations
  • MoonSighting.org.co.uk observations
  • Chicago Hilal Committee observations
  • Skyfield astronomical library

Methodology

  • 7 astronomical visibility parameters
  • ML Random Forest model
  • 2,000+ historical training records
Feedback & Feature Requests

Moon Sighting Project · Astronomical predictions are estimates and should be used alongside traditional moon sighting practices

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Moon Sighting in Tokyo

JapanEast Asia35.68°, 139.65°

27 Rabi al-Thani 1448 AH · Sat, Oct 10, 2026

Visibility Prediction
0/7 thresholds met
35.6762, 139.6503Sat, Oct 10, 2026·27 Rabi al-Thani 1448 AHAsia/Tokyo

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

New Moon (Conjunction): 2026-10-10 15:50:05 UTC

JST: Oct 11, 00:50:05KST: Oct 11, 00:50:05CST: 23:50:05MSK: 18:50:05
0%confidence
Not Possible

Sunset

17:13

Moonset

16:42

Astronomical Parameters

Moonset Lag-30.4 min
Moon Age-7.6 hrs
Moon Altitude-6.8 °
Elongation6.1 °
Illumination0.1 %
ARCV-6.0 °
Crescent Width0.1 ′
Upcoming Islamic Months in Tokyo

Jumada al-Ula 1448 AH

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

13% Very Difficult

Jumada al-Thani 1448 AH

Thu, Nov 12, 2026

50% Possible

Rajab 1448 AH

Sat, Dec 12, 2026

93% Very Likely

Sha'ban 1448 AH

Sun, Jan 10, 2027

78% Very Likely

Ramadan 1448 AH

Tue, Feb 9, 2027

95% Very Likely

Shawwal 1448 AH

Wed, Mar 10, 2027

71% Likely

Moon Sighting in East Asia

East Asia encompasses a wide range of latitudes, from Tokyo and Seoul in the temperate zone to Beijing further north. Muslim communities in Japan, South Korea, China, and Russia each face unique crescent visibility conditions shaped by their geographical position.

Our predictions account for each city's specific astronomical conditions, providing reliable forecasts for communities across the region. East Asian cities often experience distinct seasonal patterns that affect crescent visibility windows.

How Our Predictions Work

Our system calculates five key astronomical parameters at sunset: moonset lag, moon age, moon altitude, sun-moon elongation, and illumination percentage. These are fed into a machine learning model trained on over 2,000 historical crescent sighting observations to produce a confidence score from 0% to 100%.

Moonset Lag

≥ 45 min

Moon Age

≥ 21 hrs

Altitude

≥ 8°

Elongation

≥ 10°

Illumination

≥ 0.9%

Upcoming Islamic Events in Tokyo

Ramadan 2026

The holy month of fasting, prayer, and reflection observed by Muslims worldwide.

Eid al-Fitr 2026

The Festival of Breaking the Fast, celebrating the end of Ramadan.

Eid al-Adha 2026

The Festival of Sacrifice, the holiest of the two Islamic holidays, marking the culmination of Hajj.

Islamic New Year 2026

The first day of Muharram, marking the beginning of a new Islamic (Hijri) year.

Event dates for Tokyo are based on local crescent moon visibility and may differ from other regions.

More Cities in East Asia

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Japan

Nagoya

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Seoul

South Korea

Beijing

China

Xi'an

China

Urumqi

China

Moscow

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Kazan

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